Monday, May 8, 2023

Return of the CD's (Part Two)

 

As with most anything else, it pays to shop around when looking for certificates of deposit (CD’s) paying the highest interest rates.  Banks are offering special deals now for CD’s of varying terms (i.e. required length of deposit).  What I’ve found with these deals, however, is that often they are “one and done”.  They may have a good rate for the initial term, but when they renew the subsequent term features a very average rate.  Some banks, in fact, state upfront that after the initial term, the rate will fall to half—or less—of the initial interest rate.

Banks can be flexible in the length of terms for their CD’s, but the rates can also vary wildly.  A bank may offer a special for a one-year CD, but if you want to construct a CD ladder (see my last post), the rates for a three-month, six-month, or nine-month CD are likely to be much lower.

For these reasons, I would encourage CD shoppers to also keep brokers in mind as an option.  Brokers (such as my retirement account custodian or even a bank with a Certificate of Deposit Account Registry service) can purchase a huge volume of CD’s at a time from banks to negotiate a higher rate, then sell them, with still-high interest rates, to their clients.  I’ve found that brokers have a more consistent range of interest rates across the various CD terms.  In other words, the rate for a three-month CD is likely to be reasonably close to a one-year CD’s term.  This makes construction of a CD ladder easier and more lucrative.

In most cases, CD’s sold by brokers are still FDIC-insured.  Just be certain to deal with a reputable broker and get in writing that the CD is insured and is not a security but is in fact a certificate of deposit.

There are downsides to purchasing CD’s from a broker.  Sometimes these CD’s are callable; that is, the issuing bank can decide they don’t want to continue paying the high interest rate, will pay the purchaser the principal and the interest earned to-date, and just terminate the CD contract.  This is more likely to happen as interest rates generally are falling. 

But there is also a risk when rates are rising.  That is happening to me right now.  I purchased a brokered, nine-month, $10,000 CD that will mature in September.  But rates have risen a bit since I made that purchase, and if I were to cash in that CD now it is worth about $9985.  It has lost value.  That’s because a brokered CD can be resold in the secondary market—the broker can resell that CD after it is cashed in.  But who would want a CD earning 4.85% when they can purchase a new CD with a 5.1% rate?  My CD has to be discounted in order to attract another buyer. 

Nevertheless, this is not a risk if the purchaser of a brokered CD keeps it until maturity.  At that point it will not matter what current rates are.  For this reason, it is best to only invest money in a brokered CD if you are certain the money will not be needed until at least the maturity date of the CD.

[Of course, if rates are falling and the bank has not called your CD, it might be worth more than it would otherwise.  So it works both ways.]

Finally, the interest in a brokered CD does not compound.  If you roll over a maturing CD into a new CD, you will just get a check for the interest earned; only the original principal amount gets re-invested in the new CD.

As an alternative to CD’s, your broker or banker may be able to offer U.S. Treasury Bills.  Right now their rates are running very close to what I see in the brokered CD’s market.  Terms vary from four weeks to fifty-two weeks.

The Federal Reserve last week raised the interest rate again but signaled that it might be pausing the steady pace of increases we have seen over the last couple of years.  For that reason, some market watchers predict we are at or very near the peak for interest rates on savings accounts and CD’s.  This might be a good time to lock in some good rates before they start the inevitable decline.

Until next time,

Roger

“You could have at least put my money in the bank so that I could have earned interest on it.”  Matthew 25:27 CEV

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