Friday, October 20, 2017

Was Merle Haggard Right?


Country singer Merle Haggard recorded a song in 1982 that included the line “keep…your so-called Social Security”.   That came to mind recently when a friend took my advice and went on the Social Security Administration (SSA) website (ssa.gov) to get an estimate of what she can expect to collect when she retires.  She was not happy with what she saw.  Her projected monthly benefit is far less than not only her current income but her current monthly expenses.  That experience speaks to a fundamental and widely held misunderstanding of what Social Security is intended to do.  By itself it is not likely to ensure security, social or otherwise, for most people.
 
Far from being a full replacement of one’s working income, Social Security is intended only to provide a foundational income in retirement years, to afford retirees a base for financial and (together with Medicare) medical stability.  Nevertheless, for about a quarter of retired Americans collecting Social Security benefits, that monthly deposit from Uncle Sam into their bank account is their sole source of income.  This year the average monthly benefit is about $1366.   Consider that when the Social Security Act was signed in 1935, the law set the age at which someone could collect his retirement benefit at sixty-five.  I’ve checked a couple of sources, and the average life expectancy of an American male in 1935 was just over sixty-one years.  As someone wryly observed, Congress back then could do math.  Clearly, the program was not meant—nor anticipated—to fund a decades-long retirement.
 
So realistically, what can you expect Social Security to do for you?  For starters, it will likely replace only about 40% of your income, assuming you are not on either extreme of the income scale during your working years. To qualify for the highest monthly benefit, just north of $2600, you would have had to earn the maximum annual salary that is subject to Social Security taxes—which is currently $127,200—for thirty-five years. (The Social Security Administration calculates benefits based on your highest 35 years of earnings.)  That is obviously less than 40% for that high earner.  But what if someone made half of $127,200 ($63,000) per year for 35 years?  Would they just get half of $2600 ($1300) as their monthly benefit?  Actually, no, they would probably qualify for something in excess of $2100 per month.  The formula used by SSA is purposely skewed to replace a higher percentage of a low-wage worker’s income.  In other words, a minimum wage employee will likely qualify for retirement benefits well in excess of 40% of his pre-retirement income.
 
 Financial planners tell their clients to plan to replace at least 75% to 80% of their pre-retirement income after they retire. Depending on the nature of their expenses, 100% might be more realistic for some.  So by that measure Social Security comes up woefully short.
 
On the other hand, that 40% is a good start toward the approximate 80% you might need.  How can you close the rest of the gap?
 
First, look into whether you have a pension due to you.  There are fewer and fewer workers covered by these defined benefit plans; but if you ever worked for an employer that offered one, checking that source is your second step (after checking your SS benefits at ssa.gov) to determine how much income you qualify to receive in retirement.  Unless you worked 20+ years for the same employer, it’s not likely to be a huge monthly check; but remember, it’s in addition to Social Security.  Unless you were not paying Social Security payroll taxes while working for that employer (e.g. if you were a government employee) that pension does not diminish your Social Security benefit.
 
Still not up to the magical 80% (or whatever figure you’re trying to reach)?  Then next week let’s look at some ideas to financially secure your post-work years.  (Hint: It might not be accurate to call them “post-work”.)
 
Until next time,
 
 
Roger
 
“Great wealth can be a fortress, but poverty is no protection at all." Proverbs 10:15 CEV

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