Would you be completely baffled if you encountered this road sign while you were driving? Would you know what to do, which way to go?
I can guess your answer, and that
is why I chose this picture as a graphic illustration of today’s financial
advice. Listen to too many “experts,”
read too many financial advice columns, and you will soon discover how
confusing and even contradictory they can be.
Why is that so? Why, for example,
does one expert say you are financially secure in retirement if you start out
with $500,000 while another says, oh no, you need $2 million? Why does one source say you can safely
withdraw/spend 8% of your retirement savings each year and still not outlive
your savings, while another says 4% is the safest route, and yet another says
2.7% is the max you should be taking out annually if you want to be certain not
to run out of money by the time you are age 95?
Part of the disparity is the
assumptions from which each advisor works.
In the examples above, one advisor might assume that the retiree is
invested more heavily in stocks than in bonds.
Another might project that the stock market will perform better than his
peers would predict. But I believe there’s
more than just differing working assumptions causing the confusion. I’m afraid that not everyone touting his
financial credentials online, in print, on radio, or on television necessarily
wants to give solid financial advice but is more interested in making money for
himself. And if he makes a bold
prediction or goes against the flow of what most others say or foresee, he
garners more attention, more television interviews, more clicks to his website
because he stands out—even if what he says is absurd. As long as he can throw some numbers around,
cite some statistics, he can sound authoritative.
This is more common that we might
believe. I read a lot of articles about
personal finance, in print and online, but there are some sources I’ve simply
stopped reading. One preaches nonsense,
another is transparently throwing out click-bait to make money. What is the ordinary investor to do?
My suggestion: find a couple of
reliable sources for your financial advice.
Don’t live in fear over your future financial situation. It
probably is not as dire as you are being told.
Take a moment, whatever advice you are listening to or reading, to
evaluate what the source has to gain by directing you to take specific
actions. Sometimes, they just need an
audience or an increase in the number of people going to their website. But some advisors might stand to make big
commissions if you do as they tell you to.
Not everyone is looking out purely for your interests. Remembering that, having a spending plan
(budget), saving regularly, and living within (preferably below) your means will
be key to a secure future financially.
Until next time,
Roger
“To show partiality is not good—yet a person will do wrong for a piece of
bread.” Proverbs 28:21 NIV®*
*Scripture quotations taken from the Holy Bible, New
International Version® NIV®
Copyright © 1973, 1978, 1984, 2011 by Biblica, Inc.™
[By the way, I took that picture on a rut-filled, unpaved
mountain road to a lodge in Alaska. It
was a joke. There was also a sign at the
top of the hill that read, “Freeway Ends in 500 Feet.”]
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